As we approach the final eight weeks of the regular season, the race between 2nd and 4th in the U.S. Division is shaping up to be one of the better races in the WHL this season. Everett, Portland and Spokane are battling for these three spots with the top two, most likely earning home-ice advantage in the opening round of the playoffs.
Who’s got the schedule advantage?
Here is a look at the remaining schedules and the average winning percentage of the opponents (based on home and away records):
Everett (currently 2nd with 65 points):
Home (11 games – road winning percentage of opponents = .489)
Portland (2 times), Kamloops, Spokane (2 times), Kelowna, Moose Jaw, Tri City, Prince George, Seattle, Chilliwack
Away (11 games – home winning percentage of opponents = .525)
Spokane (4 times), Vancouver, Tri City, Seattle, Kamloops, Prince George (2 times), Portland
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Portland (currently 3rd with 62 points):
Home (11 games – road winning percentage of opponents = .487)
Seattle (2 times), Kamloops, Tri City (3 times), Moose Jaw, Kelowna, Prince George, Spokane, Everett
Away (10 games – home winning percentage of opponents = .495)
Everett (2 times), Vancouver, Seattle (3 times), Prince George (2 times), Tri City, Chilliwack
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Spokane (currently 4th with 58 points):
Home (13 games – road winning percentage of opponents = .533)
Seattle, Kootenay, Everett (4 times), Kamloops, Moose Jaw, Tri City (3 times), Prince George, Kelowna
Away (11 games – home winning percentage of opponents = .631)
Kamloops (2 times), Chilliwack, Everett (2 times), Kootenay, Tri City (2 times), Portland, Seattle
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So, from looking at the sheer numbers, it would appear that Spokane has the tougher schedule even though they have more games to play than either Everett or Portland. With the Chiefs playing the Silvertips six more times before now and the end of the season, I think Portland would be happy if they split those games 3-3 with all the games ending in regulation.
Portland is the benefactor of having five games left with Seattle, whom the Hawks have dominated so far this season and three games with the lowly Prince George Cougars. But…you have to win those games and hopefully find a way to solve Tri City in the three home games remaining between those two teams.
Should be an interesting race…
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Also, a “magic number” update:
Tri City – any combination of 11 points or 5.5 wins/Seattle losses
Everett — 19 points or 9.5 wins/Seattle losses
Portland — 22 points or 11 wins/Seattle losses
Vancouver — 23 points or 11.5 wins/Seattle losses
Spokane — 26 points or 13 wins/Seattle losses
Chilliwack — 32 points or 16 wins/Seattle losses
Kamloops — 33 points or 16.5 wins/Seattle losses
Kelowna — 38 points or 19 wins/Seattle losses
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Lastly, congrats to Ian Curtis for being nominated for the CHL Goaltender of the Week for the third time this season. He posted 2-0-0-0, with a 1.00 GAA and a .976 save percentage in wins over Seattle and Vancouver.
BTW…Curtis in 3 appearances against Vancouver in his career has a 1-1-0-0 record with a 2.46 GAA and a .951 save percentage…
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January 25, 2010
Categories: Uncategorized . . Author: Andy Kemper . Comments: 6 Comments